Hawkesbury racing tips & best odds | Thursday, October 20

Hawkesbury betting tips

What Hawkesbury Races
Where Hawkesbury Race Club – 1 Racecourse Rd, Clarendon NSW 2756
When Thursday, October 20, 2022
First Race 1:15pm AEDT

We’re back to the provincial circuit on Thursday with Hawkesbury holding a competitive eight-race card. The rail sits in the true position for the entire track, which is rated as a Soft 5; however, with plenty of rain around the region, expect a possible downgrade come raceday. We get under way with the first race scheduled for 1:15pm AEDT.

Best Bet: Baranof

Baranof looks to break his long-standing maiden on Thursday, and this looks like the day for it. He returns after 182 days, but he looks more than ready to go here after two very soft trials at Randwick on September 26 and October 10. He was barely asked for any kind of effort in those, and although he was beaten convincingly in both trials, it indicated that he has come up nicely. This looks a target race for the John Thompson team to get this gelding by Hinchinbrook an early win this time in. After solid runs behind the likes of Overpass (Flemington) and Waterford (Warwick Farm) last preparation, this looks his time to finally get that win he so desperately needs in start 16. Brenton Avdulla will look for a midfield position from the wider draw, but when persuaded he’ll look to put paid to his rivals turning for home.

Best Bet

Race 2 – Baranof silks#1 Baranof (10)

4yo Gelding | T: John Thompson | J: Brenton Avdulla (59kg)

$3 with Bet365

Next Best: Edge Of Reward

We head back to race one on the card to find our next best of the day with the Nathan Doyle-trained Edge Of Reward. He resumed at Port Macquarie on October 7 to be beaten a lip by Tiva Bay after storming down the outside in his first start for the Doyle camp. The step up in trip to the 1300m seems favourable for the gelding by Reward For Effort as he looks to be smashing the line at 1200m. Though our galloper has never raced this distance in his career, all five of his starts indicate that his ‘get back and run on’ style could work in the conditions expected at Hawkesbury on Thursday. Lee Magorrian jumps back aboard after trialing him before his first-up tilt – winning strongly at Newcastle back on September 12. He started very short with online bookmakers first-up at around $1.80, and the fact we’re getting a very backable price on this occasion makes him an ideal bet at around the $2.70.

Next Best

Race 1 – Edge Of Reward silks#2 Edge Of Reward (9)

4yo Gelding | T: Nathan Doyle | J: Lee Magorrian (59kg)

$2.70 with Neds

Best Value: Hoover Lucy

We wait until the lucky last to find our best value in the form of the Chris Waller-trained Hoover Lucy. She looks to find an easier task than her first-up effort at Randwick on September 3 behind Sneaky Paige when beaten by four lengths. It was a very heavy track that day, and first-up in a classy BM78 affair it also proved an unsuitable trip. The step up to 1400m second-up at BM64 level tells us that Waller and the team really want to get a confidence win on the board for Hoover Lucy this preparation before looking for bigger objectives in the future. Jay Ford gets the ride on this mare by No Nay Never and should get the box-seat in running behind likely leader Sempreinte before peeling off their backs turning for home. It looks a strong BM64 on paper, but we are hoping Hoover Lucy can prove too strong.

Best Value

Race 8 – Hoover Lucy silks#6 Hoover Lucy (4)

4yo Mare | T: Chris Waller | J: Jay Ford (60kg)

$5.50 with PlayUp

Thursday quaddie tips for Hawkesbury races

Hawkesbury quadrella selections

Thursday, October 20, 2022

  1. 1-4-5
  2. 2-6-7-9
  3. 1-3-4-5
  4. 1-2-6-10

Investment: $192 for 100%

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